The Weather Channel: June 2019 Temperature Outlook
Jun 02, 2019 11:58AM
● By Editor
By Linda Lam of the Weather Channel - June 1, 2019
A familiar temperature pattern is expected for June, with warmer-than-average temperatures in the East, South and Northwest and cooler-than-average conditions in parts of the West and Plains.
Temperatures are forecast to be most above average in much of the Southeast as well as from northwestern Oregon through much of Washington, northern Idaho and northwestern Montana, according to an outlook released Tuesday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business.
Meanwhile, areas from eastern Arizona and much of New Mexico northeastward into southwestern Minnesota can expect to see temperature the most below average in June.
This overall temperature pattern dominated the U.S. for much of May. However, as June begins, a pattern change is expected to limit the heat in the Southeast and bring warmer temperatures to the West.
This pattern shift may be what's influencing some climate models that suggest below-average temperatures will be less common than in May and that the Southeast may see near-average temperatures.
As a result of some of these indications, "we've made minor changes in our June forecast, towards slightly warmer temperatures in the north-central and southwestern U.S. and cooler temperatures across the eastern U.S.," said Dr. Todd Crawford, chief meteorologist at The Weather Company.
Crawford also notes that the soil moisture remains extremely high in the Plains, which tends to "keep local conditions cooler and wetter."
If the recent upper-level pattern in the North Atlantic continues, it would support cooler-than-average temperatures from parts of the Northeast into the northern Plains and parts of the West, while also bolstering hotter temperatures in the South.
June's Average Temperatures
Average high temperatures in June are in the 80s and 90s in the Southeast, so above-average temperatures projections would suggest a hot month is ahead. In the mid-Atlantic and Northeast, near or slightly-above-average temperatures would suggest a warm June.
Average highs are in the 60s and 70s in the Northwest, so warmer-than-average temperatures could lift temperatures to fairly warm conditions there.
Near average, or cooler-than-average temperatures in the Southwest, could temper the usual June heat experienced here.
Below-average conditions in parts of the Rockies and Plains could result in a generally mild feel with cool nights in June. This overall mild feel could extend to the Midwest, although areas toward the Ohio Valley may trend a bit warmer.